Coca Cola Co
Overview
A research memo on Coca-Cola: what the company sells and where its concentrate sits in a unit case, a shelf-to-profit money ladder, Q3 2026 segments and the 2026 guidance path, competitors and share, 2031 EPS scenarios, a 31 Oct 2026 valuation with per-share scenario values, and a leadership, insider and red-flag review.
| Information | Status | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Detailed research report | Yes | 2026-10-31 |
| Rule-based screens | Scored, on no current shortlist | 2026-10-31 |
| Valuation | Model 32.50 (-66% vs price); Above fair value · -6% to USD 87.99 | 2026-10-31, 2026-10-30 |
| Chart-pattern read | Up +6% to target, Double bottom (confirmed) | 2026-10-30 |
| Paper portfolio | Held since 2026-10-15 | 2026-10-30 |
Research
A concentrate royalty at a full price: volume is back, the multiple already knows
Quality compounder, fully priced. Organic revenue grew 10%, 6% and 7% in the first three quarters of 2026 on volume, and comparable EPS guidance was raised three times to at least 11% with free cash flow of at least USD 13.0B. At USD 94.08 (30 Oct 2026) the shares trade near 28x 2026 comparable EPS and a 3.2% FCF yield. Our scenario values today are USD 64.6 bust, 86.0 base, 104.2 boom; Morningstar about USD 80 (wide moat), MarketBeat consensus USD 97.26. The average fair value of USD 87.99 sits 6.5% below the price. Watch the 2027 divestiture reset, flat North America volume, the IRS tax case and Costa. Next hard test: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance, about 9 to 10 February 2027.
Reviewed 31 Oct 2026 · IBKR ratings pending, separate fact audit pending
Scores
| Method | Score | Inputs as of | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Defensive | 51 | 2025-12-31 | stale input |
| Magic Formula | 54 | 2026-04-03 | stale input |
| Momentum | 83 | 2026-10-30 | |
| Insider | 0 | 2026-10-30 | |
| Buffett Quality | 80 | 2026-04-03 | stale input |
| Lynch GARP | 44 | 2026-04-03 | stale input |
| Graham Enterprising | 46 | 2026-04-03 | stale input |
| Piotroski F-Score | 78 |
Every input with its filing: full score sheet · research packet (JSON) · Markdown · SEC filings.
Valuation
32.50 -66% vs price
Range 24.38 to 72.78, 3 of 3 methods agree. A labelled model estimate, not a price target. Method.
Above fair value · -6% to USD 87.99
Average of the dated sources shown in the report, with the price chart. Open the fair-value section.
Charts
Up +6% · Double bottom, confirmed
Book base rate 96% that such a breakout keeps going; 67% reached the full target. Historical frequencies, not a probability for this stock.
Portfolio activity Paper
Held: 55.17 shares at an average cost of 93.65, 9.0% of the account, opened 2026-10-15; unrealized +0.46%.
| Date | Action | Shares | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | BUY | 55.17 | 93.65 |