{
 "ticker": "AAPL",
 "currency": "USD",
 "updated_at": "2026-10-31T15:55:00+01:00",
 "price_source": "Yahoo Finance chart API AAPL, daily close (range 6mo, captured 2026-10-31)",
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   "close": 291.58
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   "close": 295.63
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   "date": "2026-06-12",
   "close": 291.13
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   "close": 296.42
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   "close": 299.24
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   "date": "2026-06-17",
   "close": 295.95
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   "date": "2026-06-18",
   "close": 298.01
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   "date": "2026-06-22",
   "close": 297.01
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   "date": "2026-06-23",
   "close": 294.3
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   "date": "2026-06-24",
   "close": 293.08
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   "date": "2026-06-25",
   "close": 275.15
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   "date": "2026-06-26",
   "close": 283.78
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   "date": "2026-06-29",
   "close": 281.74
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   "date": "2026-06-30",
   "close": 289.36
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   "date": "2026-07-01",
   "close": 294.38
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   "date": "2026-07-02",
   "close": 308.63
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   "date": "2026-07-06",
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   "date": "2026-07-07",
   "close": 310.66
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   "date": "2026-07-08",
   "close": 313.39
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   "date": "2026-07-09",
   "close": 316.22
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   "date": "2026-07-10",
   "close": 315.32
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   "date": "2026-07-13",
   "close": 317.31
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   "date": "2026-07-14",
   "close": 314.86
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   "date": "2026-07-15",
   "close": 327.5
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   "date": "2026-07-16",
   "close": 333.26
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   "date": "2026-07-17",
   "close": 333.74
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   "date": "2026-07-20",
   "close": 326.59
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   "close": 327.74
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   "close": 321.66
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   "close": 333.02
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   "close": 336.91
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   "close": 333.43
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   "close": 308.91
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   "close": 303.42
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   "date": "2026-08-04",
   "close": 309.38
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   "date": "2026-08-05",
   "close": 311.0
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   "date": "2026-08-10",
   "close": 308.26
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   "date": "2026-08-11",
   "close": 304.91
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   "close": 302.25
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   "date": "2026-08-13",
   "close": 305.26
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   "close": 305.93
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   "date": "2026-08-17",
   "close": 305.59
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   "date": "2026-08-18",
   "close": 310.03
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   "date": "2026-08-19",
   "close": 316.83
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   "date": "2026-08-20",
   "close": 311.3
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   "close": 309.35
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   "close": 310.34
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   "close": 309.9
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   "close": 313.45
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   "date": "2026-08-27",
   "close": 314.58
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   "date": "2026-08-28",
   "close": 319.7
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  {
   "date": "2026-08-31",
   "close": 316.85
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   "date": "2026-09-01",
   "close": 325.13
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   "date": "2026-09-02",
   "close": 324.96
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   "date": "2026-09-03",
   "close": 328.21
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-04",
   "close": 319.97
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-08",
   "close": 316.22
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-09",
   "close": 315.34
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-10",
   "close": 326.57
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   "date": "2026-09-11",
   "close": 332.27
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   "date": "2026-09-14",
   "close": 333.08
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   "date": "2026-09-15",
   "close": 331.34
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   "date": "2026-09-16",
   "close": 332.41
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-17",
   "close": 337.0
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-18",
   "close": 336.13
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-21",
   "close": 338.98
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-22",
   "close": 339.75
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-23",
   "close": 337.02
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-24",
   "close": 335.92
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-25",
   "close": 341.07
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-28",
   "close": 338.4
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-29",
   "close": 329.4
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  {
   "date": "2026-09-30",
   "close": 333.02
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-01",
   "close": 330.32
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-02",
   "close": 333.69
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-05",
   "close": 332.89
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-06",
   "close": 333.63
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-07",
   "close": 336.67
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-08",
   "close": 340.42
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-09",
   "close": 336.64
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-12",
   "close": 340.97
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-13",
   "close": 341.27
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-14",
   "close": 342.96
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-15",
   "close": 342.0
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-16",
   "close": 343.46
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-19",
   "close": 342.94
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-20",
   "close": 339.5
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-21",
   "close": 343.99
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-22",
   "close": 348.22
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-23",
   "close": 347.73
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-26",
   "close": 343.91
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-27",
   "close": 347.1
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  {
   "date": "2026-10-28",
   "close": 343.83
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-10-29",
   "close": 348.91
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-10-30",
   "close": 344.63
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 ],
 "fair_values": [
  {
   "date": "2026-07-31",
   "value": 285.0,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "Morningstar fair value estimate (wide moat; 3 stars at the July 2026 note)",
   "url": "https://global.morningstar.com/en-gb/stocks/after-earnings-is-apple-stock-buy-sell-or-fairly-valued-5",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00+01:00",
   "kind": "morningstar",
   "note": "cut from 290 after the FY26 Q3 report of 30 Jul 2026; article date approximate"
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-04-30",
   "value": 290.0,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "Morningstar fair value estimate",
   "url": "https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/ahead-earnings-is-apple-stock-buy-sell-or-fairly-valued-3",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00+01:00",
   "kind": "morningstar",
   "note": "prior estimate, date approximate"
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-04-22",
   "value": 297.46,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "Consensus target, 48 analysts (Asymco)",
   "url": "https://asymco.com/2026/04/22/whats-the-consensus-on-aapl/",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00+01:00",
   "kind": "consensus",
   "note": "older consensus, drawn for history"
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-08-01",
   "value": 327.0,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "Consensus target, 49 analysts (TickFlow)",
   "url": "https://www.tickflow.io/stock/AAPL/forecast",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00+01:00",
   "kind": "consensus",
   "note": "drawn for history"
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-10-30",
   "value": 332.39,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "S&P Global consensus target (43 analysts, Buy) via StockAnalysis",
   "url": "https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/aapl/forecast/",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00+01:00",
   "kind": "consensus",
   "note": "median 337.50, low 245, high 405"
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-10-31",
   "value": 250.6,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "The Claude Trader base case",
   "url": "AAPL/REPORT.md",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00+01:00",
   "kind": "ours",
   "note": "FY2030 EPS 12.35 x 27 P/E = 333.4, discounted 3.9 years at 8% = 246.9, plus PV of dividends 3.7"
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-09-09",
   "value": 290.0,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "Morningstar fair value via IBKR Mobile (Analyst Equity Report; 2 stars, moat Wide, uncertainty Medium)",
   "url": "AAPL/ibkr/20261031T152635+0100_morningstar_1.png",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:26:35+01:00",
   "kind": "morningstar"
  },
  {
   "date": "2026-10-31",
   "value": 327.42,
   "currency": "USD",
   "source": "LSEG (Refinitiv) consensus target, 43 analysts, via IBKR Mobile",
   "url": "AAPL/ibkr/20261031T152657+0100_lseg_1.png",
   "captured_at": "2026-10-31T15:26:57+01:00",
   "kind": "consensus"
  }
 ],
 "summary": {
  "latest_close": 344.63,
  "latest_date": "2026-10-30",
  "avg_fair_value": 289.34,
  "sources_used": [
   "Morningstar fair value via IBKR Mobile (Analyst Equity Report; 2 stars, moat Wide, uncertainty Medium) (290.0, 2026-09-09)",
   "LSEG (Refinitiv) consensus target, 43 analysts, via IBKR Mobile (327.42, 2026-10-31)",
   "The Claude Trader base case (250.6, 2026-10-31)"
  ],
  "gap_pct": -16.0,
  "verdict": "red",
  "method": "Average fair value = mean of the latest Morningstar fair value, one consensus target (LSEG, else TipRanks or the named consensus) and The Claude Trader base case. Broker targets are drawn but not averaged because the consensus already contains them; targets older than 12 months are dropped.",
  "missing": []
 }
}