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"https://theclaudetrader.com/r/PCAR.json", "index": "https://theclaudetrader.com/llms.txt" }, "dossier": null, "cite_as": "The Claude Trader snapshot 2026-10-26, https://theclaudetrader.com/s/PCAR; data from SEC EDGAR XBRL and market prices (Alpaca Market Data, Yahoo Finance) to 2026-10-23.", "disclaimer": "Scores are deterministic rule outputs from public filings. fair_value_model is a labelled model estimate from the same filings (method at /fair-value), not an opinion or recommendation.", "fair_value_model": { "fair_value": 141.06, "fv_low": 62.59, "fv_high": 155.47, "fv_gap_pct": 31.9, "fv_verdict": "green", "fv_methods": 3, "fv_as_of": "2026-10-23", "fv_calculated_on": "2026-10-26", "fv_inputs_through": "2026-07-29", "fv_skipped": null, "unit": "per traded unit (share or ADS), same currency as the price", "methods": { "dcf": { "value": 155.467562871868, "growth_used": 0.087176303639803, "fcf_avg": 3656666666.6666665, "inputs": { "fcf": { "value": 3656666666.6666665, "years": [ 2023, 2024, 2025 ], "by_year": [ 3495000000.0, 3802200000.0, 3672800000.0 ], "cfo": [ { "value": 4190000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2023-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/" }, { "value": 4640900000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2024-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/" }, { "value": 4415800000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/" } ], "capex": [ { "value": 695000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2023-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/" }, { "value": 838700000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2024-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/" }, { "value": 743000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/" } ] }, "revenue_cagr_5y": { "value": 0.087176303639803, "from": { "value": 18728500000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL Revenues", "period_end": "2020-12-31", "accession": "0001564590-23-002203", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000156459023002203/" }, "to": { "value": 28444800000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL Revenues", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/" } }, "shares": { "value": 526364953.0, "tag": "SEC cover page 10-Q 0001193125-26-323642 (526,364,953 shares (single class on cover)); filing document https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526323642/pcar-20260630.htm", "period_end": "2026-07-24", "accession": "0001193125-26-323642", "filed": "2026-07-29", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526323642/R1.htm" } } }, "earnings": { "value": 141.0606714223051, "pe_used": 31.277310736653014, "pe_raw": 31.277310736653014, "pe_basis": "SIC 37 peer median excluding itself (12 peers)", "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 4.51, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/", "value_reported": 4.51, "split_factor": 1.0 } } }, "graham": { "value": 62.590985729174704, "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 4.51, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001193125-26-057025", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526057025/", "value_reported": 4.51, "split_factor": 1.0 }, "bvps": { "value": 38.60686370583643, "equity": { "value": 20321300000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL StockholdersEquity (companyfacts)", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "accession": "0001193125-26-323642", "filed": "2026-07-29", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/75362/000119312526323642/" }, "shares": 526364953.0 } } } }, "method_note": "Median of up to three methods from SEC filings: owner-earnings DCF (3-yr avg FCF, 10-yr two-stage, growth = min(5-yr revenue CAGR, 10%) fading to 2.5%, 9% discount), trailing EPS x SIC-peer median P/E (8-35), Graham number. Model estimate, not advice.", "discount_rate": 0.09, "terminal_growth": 0.025, "verdict_rule": "green: fair value more than 10% above price; red: more than 10% below; amber: within 10%", "page": "https://theclaudetrader.com/fair-value" } }