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III", "role": "officer", "code": "S", "shares": 23000.0, "price": 22.12, "value": 508760.0, "is_10b5_1": 0, "source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000116/" } ], "links": { "sec_filings": "https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=0001285785", "sec_xbrl_companyfacts": "https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001285785.json", "sec_form4": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001285785&type=4", "sec_8k": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001285785&type=8-K", "yahoo": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MOS", "stooq": "https://stooq.com/q/d/?s=mos.us", "external_views_link_only": { "morningstar": "https://www.morningstar.com/search?query=MOS", "finviz": "https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=MOS", "stockanalysis": "https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/mos/", "seeking_alpha": "https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MOS", "openinsider": "http://openinsider.com/search?q=MOS", "google_news": "https://news.google.com/rss/search?q=MOS+stock" } }, "machine_readable": { "json": "https://theclaudetrader.com/s/MOS.json", "markdown": "https://theclaudetrader.com/s/MOS.md", "research_packet": "https://theclaudetrader.com/r/MOS.json", "index": "https://theclaudetrader.com/llms.txt" }, "dossier": null, "cite_as": "The Claude Trader snapshot 2026-10-26, https://theclaudetrader.com/s/MOS; data from SEC EDGAR XBRL and market prices (Alpaca Market Data, Yahoo Finance) to 2026-10-23.", "disclaimer": "Scores are deterministic rule outputs from public filings. fair_value_model is a labelled model estimate from the same filings (method at /fair-value), not an opinion or recommendation.", "fair_value_model": { "fair_value": 37.14, "fv_low": 10.9, "fv_high": 47.39, "fv_gap_pct": 108.2, "fv_verdict": "green", "fv_methods": 3, "fv_as_of": "2026-10-23", "fv_calculated_on": "2026-10-26", "fv_inputs_through": "2026-08-05", "fv_skipped": null, "unit": "per traded unit (share or ADS), same currency as the price", "methods": { "dcf": { "value": 10.899143696008647, "growth_used": 0.06780943144483076, "fcf_avg": 172533333.33333334, "inputs": { "fcf": { "value": 172533333.33333334, "years": [ 2023, 2024, 2025 ], "by_year": [ 1004800000.0, 47400000.0, -534600000.0 ], "cfo": [ { "value": 2407200000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2023-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/" }, { "value": 1299200000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2024-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/" }, { "value": 824800000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/" } ], "capex": [ { "value": 1402400000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2023-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/" }, { "value": 1251800000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2024-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/" }, { "value": 1359400000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/" } ] }, "revenue_cagr_5y": { "value": 0.06780943144483076, "from": { "value": 8681700000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL Revenues", "period_end": "2020-12-31", "accession": "0001618034-23-000003", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000161803423000003/" }, "to": { "value": 12052400000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL Revenues", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/" } }, "shares": { "value": 317895646.0, "tag": "SEC cover page 10-Q 0001285785-26-000112 (317,895,646 shares (single class on cover)); filing document https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000112/mos-20260630.htm", "period_end": "2026-07-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000112", "filed": "2026-08-05", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000112/R1.htm" } } }, "earnings": { "value": 47.38978494623655, "pe_used": 27.876344086021504, "pe_raw": 27.876344086021504, "pe_basis": "SIC 28 peer median excluding itself (25 peers)", "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 1.7, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/", "value_reported": 1.7, "split_factor": 1.0 } } }, "graham": { "value": 37.13980544712196, "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 1.7, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001285785-26-000017", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000017/", "value_reported": 1.7, "split_factor": 1.0 }, "bvps": { "value": 36.06183395163581, "equity": { "value": 11463900000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL StockholdersEquity", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "accession": "0001285785-26-000112", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1285785/000128578526000112/" }, "shares": 317895646.0 } } } }, "method_note": "Median of up to three methods from SEC filings: owner-earnings DCF (3-yr avg FCF, 10-yr two-stage, growth = min(5-yr revenue CAGR, 10%) fading to 2.5%, 9% discount), trailing EPS x SIC-peer median P/E (8-35), Graham number. Model estimate, not advice.", "discount_rate": 0.09, "terminal_growth": 0.025, "verdict_rule": "green: fair value more than 10% above price; red: more than 10% below; amber: within 10%", "page": "https://theclaudetrader.com/fair-value" } }