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"https://theclaudetrader.com/s/HD.md", "research_packet": "https://theclaudetrader.com/r/HD.json", "index": "https://theclaudetrader.com/llms.txt" }, "dossier": null, "cite_as": "The Claude Trader snapshot 2026-10-26, https://theclaudetrader.com/s/HD; data from SEC EDGAR XBRL and market prices (Alpaca Market Data, Yahoo Finance) to 2026-10-23.", "disclaimer": "Scores are deterministic rule outputs from public filings. fair_value_model is a labelled model estimate from the same filings (method at /fair-value), not an opinion or recommendation.", "fair_value_model": { "fair_value": 276.95, "fv_low": 73.03, "fv_high": 353.03, "fv_gap_pct": -13.4, "fv_verdict": "red", "fv_methods": 3, "fv_as_of": "2026-10-23", "fv_calculated_on": "2026-10-26", "fv_inputs_through": "2026-08-25", "fv_skipped": null, "unit": "per traded unit (share or ADS), same currency as the price", "methods": { "dcf": { "value": 276.946375135116, "growth_used": 0.04506334520303379, "fcf_avg": 15639000000.0, "inputs": { "fcf": { "value": 15639000000.0, "years": [ 2023, 2024, 2025 ], "by_year": [ 17946000000.0, 16325000000.0, 12646000000.0 ], "cfo": [ { "value": 21172000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2024-01-28", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/" }, { "value": 19810000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2025-02-02", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/" }, { "value": 16325000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2026-02-01", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/" } ], "capex": [ { "value": 3226000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets (10-K via companyfacts; capex fallback)", "period_end": "2024-01-28", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": "2026-03-18", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/" }, { "value": 3485000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets (10-K via companyfacts; capex fallback)", "period_end": "2025-02-02", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": "2026-03-18", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/" }, { "value": 3679000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets (10-K via companyfacts; capex fallback)", "period_end": "2026-02-01", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": "2026-03-18", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/" } ] }, "revenue_cagr_5y": { "value": 0.04506334520303379, "from": { "value": 132110000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax", "period_end": "2021-01-31", "accession": "0000354950-23-000059", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000035495023000059/" }, "to": { "value": 164683000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax", "period_end": "2026-02-01", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/" } }, "shares": { "value": 997689626.0, "tag": "SEC cover page 10-Q 0001628280-26-058715 (997,689,626 shares (single class on cover)); filing document https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026058715/hd-20260802.htm", "period_end": "2026-08-18", "accession": "0001628280-26-058715", "filed": "2026-08-25", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026058715/R1.htm" } } }, "earnings": { "value": 353.03275714955464, "pe_used": 24.809048288795125, "pe_raw": 24.809048288795125, "pe_basis": "SIC 52 peer median excluding itself (4 peers)", "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 14.23, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2026-02-01", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/", "value_reported": 14.23, "split_factor": 1.0 } } }, "graham": { "value": 73.02512193416304, "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 14.23, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2026-02-01", "accession": "0001628280-26-019436", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026019436/", "value_reported": 14.23, "split_factor": 1.0 }, "bvps": { "value": 16.655480388847906, "equity": { "value": 16617000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL StockholdersEquity", "period_end": "2026-08-02", "accession": "0001628280-26-058715", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354950/000162828026058715/" }, "shares": 997689626.0 } } } }, "method_note": "Median of up to three methods from SEC filings: owner-earnings DCF (3-yr avg FCF, 10-yr two-stage, growth = min(5-yr revenue CAGR, 10%) fading to 2.5%, 9% discount), trailing EPS x SIC-peer median P/E (8-35), Graham number. Model estimate, not advice.", "discount_rate": 0.09, "terminal_growth": 0.025, "verdict_rule": "green: fair value more than 10% above price; red: more than 10% below; amber: within 10%", "page": "https://theclaudetrader.com/fair-value" } }