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https://theclaudetrader.com/s/DHI; data from SEC EDGAR XBRL and market prices (Alpaca Market Data, Yahoo Finance) to 2026-10-23.", "disclaimer": "Scores are deterministic rule outputs from public filings. fair_value_model is a labelled model estimate from the same filings (method at /fair-value), not an opinion or recommendation.", "fair_value_model": { "fair_value": 148.89, "fv_low": 126.09, "fv_high": 271.05, "fv_gap_pct": 1.0, "fv_verdict": "amber", "fv_methods": 3, "fv_as_of": "2026-10-23", "fv_calculated_on": "2026-10-26", "fv_inputs_through": "2026-07-23", "fv_skipped": null, "unit": "per traded unit (share or ADS), same currency as the price", "methods": { "dcf": { "value": 271.0505328848446, "growth_used": 0.1, "fcf_avg": 3154500000.0, "inputs": { "fcf": { "value": 3154500000.0, "years": [ 2023, 2024, 2025 ], "by_year": [ 4155500000.0, 2024500000.0, 3283500000.0 ], "cfo": [ { "value": 4304100000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2023-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/" }, { "value": 2189800000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2024-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/" }, { "value": 3420900000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2025-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/" } ], "capex": [ { "value": 148600000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2023-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/" }, { "value": 165300000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2024-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/" }, { "value": 137400000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2025-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/" } ] }, "revenue_cagr_5y": { "value": 0.11016221220279032, "from": { "value": 20311100000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL Revenues", "period_end": "2020-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-22-000184", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218422000184/" }, "to": { "value": 34250400000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL Revenues", "period_end": "2025-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/" } }, "shares": { "value": 279701267.0, "tag": "SEC cover page 10-Q 0000882184-26-000096 (279,701,267 shares (single class on cover)); filing document https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218426000096/dhi-20260630.htm", "period_end": "2026-07-16", "accession": "0000882184-26-000096", "filed": "2026-07-23", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218426000096/R1.htm" } } }, "earnings": { "value": 126.09427158273381, "pe_used": 10.898381294964029, "pe_raw": 10.898381294964029, "pe_basis": "SIC 15 peer median excluding itself (3 peers)", "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 11.57, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/", "value_reported": 11.57, "split_factor": 1.0 } } }, "graham": { "value": 148.8939468101834, "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 11.57, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-09-30", "accession": "0000882184-25-000081", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218425000081/", "value_reported": 11.57, "split_factor": 1.0 }, "bvps": { "value": 85.1605008996974, "equity": { "value": 23819500000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL StockholdersEquity (companyfacts)", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "accession": "0000882184-26-000096", "filed": "2026-07-23", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/882184/000088218426000096/" }, "shares": 279701267.0 } } } }, "method_note": "Median of up to three methods from SEC filings: owner-earnings DCF (3-yr avg FCF, 10-yr two-stage, growth = min(5-yr revenue CAGR, 10%) fading to 2.5%, 9% discount), trailing EPS x SIC-peer median P/E (8-35), Graham number. Model estimate, not advice.", "discount_rate": 0.09, "terminal_growth": 0.025, "verdict_rule": "green: fair value more than 10% above price; red: more than 10% below; amber: within 10%", "page": "https://theclaudetrader.com/fair-value" } }